2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Now Expected to Be Less Active, According to Colorado State University's Updated July Outlook
Jonathan Belles Published: July 2, 2018
Category 3
latest outlook
1. Atlantic Ocean Temperature Patterns
2. Transition Toward El Niño Becoming More Possible
model guidance
July outlook
(MORE: Chance of El Niño Conditions Developing Increases During Upcoming Fall, Winter)
3. Increasing North Atlantic Oscillation
- Gustier winds across much of the subtropics and North Atlantic.
- Cooler water temperatures.
- A slightly faster tropical wave track across the Atlantic.
(MORE: Where and When the Season's First Hurricane Typically Forms)
Other Hurricane Season Forecasts
- North Carolina State University (issued in April): 14-18 NS, 7-11 HU, 3-5 MH
- Tropical Storm Risk/University College London (issued in April): 9 TS, 4 HU, 1 MH
- NOAA (issued in late May): 10-16 NS, 5-9 HU, 1-4 MH
What Does This Mean For the United States?
prepare each year
Hurricane Andrew
Hurricane Alicia
hurricane landfalls
https://www.wunderground.com/news/2018-07-02-2018-hurricane-season-forecast-csu-twc-july