Beryl is expected to become a dangerous major hurricane before reaching the Windward Islands… cyclone watches are in progress
French Newsletter\r\nTropical Storm Advisory Beryl Number 4\r\nNWS national hurricane center miami FL AL022024\r\n1100 am Atlantic time Saturday June 29, 2024
…BERYL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS\r\n…CYCLONIC WATCHES ARE ISSUED…
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION\r\n----------------\r\nLOCATION…10.0N 47.8W\r\nAPPROXIMATELY 820 MI…1320 KM ESE OF BARBADOS\r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H\r\nCURRENT MOVEMENT…WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 23 MPH…37 KM/H\r\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES
ALERTS AND WARNINGS\r\n-------\r\nCHANGES WITH THIS NOTICE:
The French government has issued a tropical storm watch for Martinique.\r\nThe government of Saint Lucia has issued a hurricane watch for the island.\r\nThe Government of Barbados has issued a hurricane watch for Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.\r\nThe Government of Trinidad and Tobago has issued a hurricane watch for Grenada and a tropical storm watch for Tobago.\r\n\r\nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A hurricane watch is in effect for…\r\n* Barbados\r\n* St. LUCIA\r\n* Saint Vincent and the Grenadines\r\n* Pomegranate
A tropical storm watch is in effect for…\r\n*Martinique\r\n* Tobago
DISCUSSION AND PERSPECTIVES\r\n--------\r\nSatellite images indicate that Beryl has been strengthening at a rapid rate.\r\nquickly. The storm is now more symmetrical, with the low-level center being\r\nlocated under a central expanding dense canopy.\r\nShowers and thunderstorms are also organized in sideways curved bands\r\nwest of traffic. The initial intensity is increased to\r\n55 kt, consistent with TAFB's Dvorak estimate, and Beryl is approaching hurricane force.\r\napproaching hurricane force.
This movement is expected to take Beryl across the Windward Islands late Sunday night into Monday, then across the eastern and central Caribbean Sea early Monday night into Tuesday.\r\nTowards the middle of next week, the cyclone could rise a little further in latitude, as it is influenced by a weak ridge, before another ridge forms to the northwest. The NHC's predicted track has been shifted south based on trends from the latest models.
3. Central and Western Caribbean countries should monitor the progress of this system.\r\nReaders are reminded that there is large uncertainty at 4 and 5 days and not to focus on trajectory details or intensity prediction.
INIT 29/1500Z 10.0N 47.8W 55 KT 65 MPH\r\n12H 30/0000Z 10.4N 50.5W 70KT 80MPH\r\n24H 30/1200Z 11.1N 53.8W 85KT 100MPH\r\n36H 01/0000Z 11.8N 57.3W 95KT 110MPH\r\n48H 01/1200Z 12.6N 60.8W 100KT 115MPH\r\n60H 02/0000Z 13.7N 64.3W 100KT 115MPH\r\n72H 02/1200Z 14.9N 68.3W 100KT 115MPH\r\n96H 03/1200Z 17.0N 75.5W 90KT 105MPH\r\n120H 04/1200Z 18.7N 81.4W 80KT 90MPH
RAIN: Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to produce 7 to 15 cm of rainfall across Barbados and the Windward Islands overnight Sunday into Monday.\r\nThis precipitation can cause flooding in vulnerable areas.
https://faxinfo.fr/en/beryl-devrait-devenir-un-ouragan-majeur-dangereux-avant-datteindre-les-iles-du-vent-iles-du-nord-epargnees/
